Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001054 0.001201 0.001349 0.001509 0.001677 0.001847 0.002032
2025-06-22 0.000812 0.001019 0.001236 0.001479 0.001740 0.002011 0.002312
2025-06-29 0.000651 0.000903 0.001176 0.001490 0.001836 0.002201 0.002613
2025-07-06 0.000578 0.000873 0.001203 0.001591 0.002025 0.002489 0.003017
2025-07-13 0.000445 0.000759 0.001125 0.001566 0.002069 0.002615 0.003242
2025-07-20 0.000319 0.000636 0.001026 0.001508 0.002070 0.002688 0.003406
2025-07-27 0.000260 0.000591 0.001014 0.001549 0.002179 0.002878 0.003697
2025-08-03 0.000189 0.000519 0.000961 0.001535 0.002222 0.002992 0.003900
2025-08-10 0.000109 0.000415 0.000858 0.001454 0.002181 0.003006 0.003987
2025-08-17 0.000062 0.000349 0.000798 0.001421 0.002193 0.003078 0.004138
2025-08-24 0.000019 0.000264 0.000703 0.001337 0.002140 0.003072 0.004196
2025-08-31 0.000004 0.000223 0.000666 0.001325 0.002171 0.003161 0.004362
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000199 0.000665 0.001378 0.002305 0.003397 0.004728
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000143 0.000605 0.001349 0.002338 0.003515 0.004961
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000109 0.000574 0.001359 0.002420 0.003694 0.005266
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000106 0.000604 0.001456 0.002612 0.004005 0.005727
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000069 0.000553 0.001432 0.002648 0.004128 0.005967
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000033 0.000485 0.001376 0.002640 0.004195 0.006140
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000023 0.000480 0.001415 0.002755 0.004410 0.006487
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000009 0.000443 0.001402 0.002799 0.004539 0.006731
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000371 0.001324 0.002752 0.004552 0.006836
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000330 0.001292 0.002766 0.004639 0.007027
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000266 0.001212 0.002709 0.004635 0.007106